Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.008663 0.010208 0.012067 0.014507 0.017683 0.021761 0.027539
2025-08-17 0.006368 0.008059 0.010319 0.013673 0.018734 0.026490 0.040222
2025-08-24 0.005170 0.006836 0.009213 0.013038 0.019446 0.030686 0.054730
2025-08-31 0.004594 0.006303 0.008884 0.013349 0.021605 0.038202 0.082048
2025-09-07 0.004037 0.005682 0.008268 0.012986 0.022390 0.043497 0.110844
2025-09-14 0.003575 0.005132 0.007655 0.012457 0.022633 0.047750 0.143540
2025-09-21 0.003286 0.004812 0.007365 0.012443 0.023948 0.055590 0.206683
2025-09-28 0.003125 0.004676 0.007364 0.012983 0.026742 0.070017 0.354058
2025-10-05 0.003053 0.004679 0.007608 0.014086 0.031488 0.096471 0.797694
2025-10-12 0.002914 0.004546 0.007571 0.014561 0.034787 0.122441 1.772596
2025-10-19 0.002722 0.004295 0.007270 0.014348 0.035918 0.140332 3.498116
2025-10-26 0.002577 0.004117 0.007087 0.014388 0.037946 0.167843 10.090701
2025-11-02 0.002381 0.003841 0.006704 0.013925 0.038370 0.189602 38.460934
2025-11-09 0.002177 0.003535 0.006227 0.013136 0.037308 0.199801 187.516985
2025-11-16 0.002011 0.003288 0.005847 0.012535 0.036760 0.215204 82021.349678
2025-11-23 0.001931 0.003198 0.005795 0.012830 0.040181 0.286337 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001814 0.003026 0.005539 0.012487 0.040612 0.327062 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001698 0.002846 0.005249 0.011984 0.040064 0.354354 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001624 0.002746 0.005127 0.011972 0.042025 0.444175 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001588 0.002718 0.005170 0.012483 0.047275 0.681708 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001581 0.002749 0.005357 0.013527 0.056970 1.390838 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001542 0.002710 0.005367 0.013976 0.063565 2.500330 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001476 0.002607 0.005206 0.013775 0.065276 3.473083 NaN